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July Cup 2020: Runner-By-Runner Preview

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Saturday's big race is the Group 1 July Cup over six furlongs at Newmarket's July Course. Expect it to be fast and furious with some of the best sprinters in action. Here we provide a preview of every runner in the race and their chances. 

GOLDEN HORDE - 3.5

Trainer: Clive Cox | Jockey: Adam Kirby

Strong two-year-old form carried through to this season, winning the Commonwealth Cup impressively on re-appearance. Softer going not ideal but was third on heavy ground in last year's Prix Morny. Hard to beat. 

SCEPTICAL - 5.9

Trainer: Denis Hogan | Jockey: Frankie Dettori

Impressive when racking up four victories on the bounce including a Listed success at Naas. Narrowly beaten into third in the Diamond Jubilee last month but unproven in softer conditions if rain persists. Seems short enough in the market. 

HELLO YOUMZAIN - 6.4

Trainer: Kevin Ryan | Jockey: Kevin Stott

Now a dual Group 1 winner following victory in the Diamond Jubilee, and he relishes soft ground. Potential question mark over how much the last race took out of him but deserves to be disputing favouritism. Interestingly drawn in stall 12 where last two winners of this have emerged from.

KHAADEM - 8.6

Trainer: Charlie Hills | Jockey: Jim Crowley

Ran on for fourth in the Diamond Jubilee but is still to really prove himself at this elite level. Has form on good-to-soft but wouldn't want it to deteriorate any further. Likely playing for place money in this field. 

THREAT - 11.0

Trainer: Richard Hannon Jr. | Jockey: Oisin Murphy

Dual Group 2 winner as a two-year-old and only 3/4 length behind Golden Horde in the Richmond Stakes. Struggled when stepped up to a mile at Ascot and this drop back in trip should suit. May prefer better ground but could be a danger to all. 

OXTED - 13.0

Trainer: Roger Teal | Jockey: Cieren Fallon

Progressed well last season, winning the Portland on his final start. Good winner of Group 3 Abernant on re-appearance but this is a marked step up in class. Versatile ground-wise and could outrun his price. 

BRANDO - 26.0

Trainer: Kevin Ryan | Jockey: Tom Eaves

Placed in the race twice previously and while he clearly retains his ability, a race such as this is probably beyond him at his old age. Heavy conditions would enhance claims but another who will do well to run into a place. 

EQUILATERAL - 26.0

Trainer: Charlie Hills | Jockey: James Doyle

Five furlongs is more his trip as shown when second behind Battaash in the King's Stand on re-appearance. Fairly versatile ground-wise but wouldn't want it heavy. Yet to finish out of the money since being gelded and this is his first run for new owners. 

SIR DANCEALOT - 29.0

Trainer: David Elsworth | Jockey: Gerald Mosse

Best on quicker ground and generally kept to seven furlongs these days. Fourth in the Criterion on first run this season, only a week ago. Very hard to see him making an impact here. 

SOUTHERN HILLS - 38.0

Trainer: Aidan O'Brien | Jockey: Ryan Moore

Won the Windsor Castle as a juvenile and wasn't seen again until re-appearance in the Commonwealth Cup - finished midfield that day but left the impression he would come on for the run. Master trainer has won the last two renewals and it would be foolish to write him off at a big price. Also proven on soft ground. 

LORD OF THE LODGE - 50.0

Trainer: Karl Burke | Jockey: Ben Curtis

Hasn't re-produced the form of his Gimcrack second to Threat last season and unlikely to make an impact in this contest. Might be better over further. 

SHINE SO BRIGHT - 70.0

Trainer: Andrew Balding | Jockey: Silvestre De Sousa

Another who is better over seven furlongs, winning the Group 2 City of York last season. Finished last in the Diamond Jubilee and then an improved third in a Listed contest at Epsom last weekend. Will struggle in this field. 

NAMOS - 80.0

Trainer: Dominick Moser | Jockey: William Buick

German raider who has picked up two Group 3 prizes in three outings so far this season. Finished midfield in last year's Prix Jean Prat - form which would would suggest he could outrun his odds without troubling the favourites. 

***

Smarkets 1-2-3

1 - GOLDEN HORDE

2 - THREAT

3 - HELLO YOUMZAIN

It's tough to see Golden Horde being beaten here based on his impressive performance in the Commonwealth Cup. Threat will almost certainly improve for the drop back in trip, while Hello Youmzain may just have benefitted from a bit more time between races to win this. The likes of Southern Hills and Oxted could run well at bigger prices. 

*Odds correct at time of publication


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